The Baltimore Ravens and Atlanta Falcons both come into Sunday night playing well, but Atlanta has looked like a different team since quarterback Michael Penix Jr. returned. The Falcons have scored 80 points over their last two games, with Penix completing 73.3% of his passes. Bijan Robinson has been a big part of that success, rushing for 349 yards and four touchdowns during that stretch. Baltimore will have its hands full trying to slow him down.
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The Ravens will be without Lamar Jackson because of an ankle injury. Tyler Huntley gets the start against a Falcons defense allowing a league-low 48.3 rushing yards per game. That doesn't bode well for Derrick Henry, despite his seven rushing touchdowns this season. Baltimore is also dealing with injuries along its offensive line, which could make things even more difficult.
I'm interested to see how Baltimore approaches defending Atlanta's running game. If the Ravens commit more defenders to stopping Robinson, Penix could have opportunities to make plays downfield. With OLB Trey Hendrickson also ruled out, that becomes an even bigger concern for Baltimore.
Betting outlook
I like the Falcons against the spread more than the total in this matchup. Atlanta is favored by three points after Baltimore opened as a 4.5-point favorite earlier in the week. Lamar Jackson being ruled out has a lot to do with that movement, but the Falcons have also played well enough to earn some respect from oddsmakers.