If the 2026 NFL season is reiterating any key lesson, it's this: Anything goes.
The Las Vegas Raiders, 150-1 (0.66% implied odds) to win the Super Bowl at the onset of the season, are 3-0 with an 11.3-point average victory margin. Conversely, the Houston Texans, 18-1 (5.3%) entering Week 1, have dropped three in a row with their vaunted defense having surrendered the 14th-most points (25.0 per game).
In fantasy football, Brock Purdy, a 10th-round pick on average during the preseason, is the No. 4 overall scorer, averaging only 4.3 fewer fantasy points per game than Josh Allen. Meanwhile, Omarion Hampton, a popular breakout pick and the No. 15 overall player in terms of ADP, has averaged 10.5 points to place outside the top 20 in scoring among running backs.